Stage 4 · Probability · Determine probabilities for chance experiments · Topic: Probability · Year 7, 8

Identify and describe theoretical (expected) probabilities as being the likelihood of outcomes occurring under fair or unbiased conditions

Dot point ID k-10-2022-stage-4-probability/prb-dpf-stg4-05 · NESA code MA_K_10_CP_PRB_DPF_STG4_05 · See it on the NSW Curriculum website ↗

Outcomes for this focus area (MA4-PRO-C-01)

MA4-PRO-C-01 solves problems involving the probabilities of simple chance experiments

Core resources for this dot point

On-level resources, grouped by type. Need the building blocks? Use Support. Ready for more? Use Enrich.

Interactive toolEnrichment
NRICH: Which Spinners?
NRICH (University of Cambridge) · Interactive (browser) · Free · Link checked 2026-10-15 · Low floor high ceiling, No prep, Teacher notes
Use it for: Match spinners to their results using expected vs observed frequency.
Also tagged to: Assign expected probabilities to outcomes in chance experime…; Determine and discuss the differences between the expected p…; Explain that observed probability is the relative frequency …

Checked resources for Probability as a whole (not mapped to a single dot point).

Unit/Planning
Stage 4 Unit 1 – making predictions (sample unit of learning)
NSW Department of Education · Sample unit (DOCX) · Editable document · Free · Link checked 2026-10-15 · Australian context, Editable, Teacher notes
Outcome codes found in document: MA4-FRC-C-01, MA4-PRO-C-01